18 December 2009

Something to ponder..

I start this week’s column with a brief look back at 2009!
January saw UK plc officially reach recession with house prices in steep decline. BBR dropped in February and has remained at 0.5% ever since. In March, many banks announced dramatic losses. Stamp Duty relief was extended in April for properties under £175k until the end of 09. May confirmed hundreds of mortgage brokers had left the market! In June AToM opened new premises in the Carfax (Hooray)! July’s mortgage business hinted small signs of recovery. August saw a renewed call for Estate Agent regulation and in September Lloyds completed the first mortgage asset backed securitisation in Europe for over a year! In October the FSA circulated their Mortgage Market Review proposals including the removal of self certification mortgages. November saw news of a number of lenders ready to join or re-enter the UK mortgage market and December bought the pre budget report - Oh joy! Overall, not a great business year for mortgages! It can’t get any worse, can it?

So, something to ponder - BBR will increase at some point soon. Some pundits suggest late 2010. We think it will be sooner. Tracker rates remain attractive but if you are waiting on a tracker and planning to move to a fixed rate when BBR moves, then beware….we can almost guarantee that the cost of fixed rates will quickly rise too. So, if you are sitting on a good tracker, is it worth taking a gamble on where fixed rates will be when the uplift in BBR comes? If you are keen on stability, have you thought about the possible advantage of taking a small hit at the front end knowing you are well placed with rate protection when BBR rises? A conundrum to consider during the festivities?

Thank you for reading my column throughout 2009. Please let me know any burning issues you would like me to cover in 2010. You can email me at dale.jannels@atomltd.co.uk or give me a call on the above number.

The directors and staff at AToM wish you, family and friends a very Happy Christmas and relaxing New Year. We look forward to being of assistance to you during 2010. Let’s hope it will be a good year for everyone…

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