A serious lack of consumer confidence...

Where do I start this week!?  So much negative news surrounding the world of financial services.  As I write this column, the Breaking News is that Bob Diamond has resigned as Chief Executive of Barclays, following his Chairmans departure some hours earlier.   Both following Libor (London Inter Bank Offered Rate) and Euribor, the interest rates at which banks lend to each other, fixing and interest rate swap miss-selling scandals.  Also, in relation to last week’s fine of £290m by the FSA and US authorities after it admitted that their traders manipulated Libor.  This now leaves a rather large ship with no captains to steer them.  No doubt the board will act quickly and more light will have been shed on the matter by the time this is printed.  However, the bottom line is that, allegedly, a number of other banks are also under investigation and thus, this could be just the first of many, and in addition, it‘s a further act of mistrust and will bring an increased lack of confidence to an already fragile market.

This comes in the wake of the technical issues at Natwest/RBS, which affected many customers across the country.  Despite the bank confirming all issues had been sorted last week, the bank still has issues and some customers, allegedly, were hit with incorrect duplicate payments on their mortgages this week.   Does make you wonder how we ever functioned without technology and, more worryingly, how totally dependent we have become on it…

And finally…the Bank of England’s latest figures suggest that gross lending secured on dwellings hit £12.2bn in May up from £11.6bn in April.  Repayments also rose from £11.4bn in April to £11.7bn in May.   House purchases fell to 51,098 in May from the 51,627 figure recorded in April and remortgage approvals also dipped from 30,799 in April to 29,244 in May.  All signs of a reduced availability of mortgage credit and with the Eurozone crisis still in the mix, and a serious dent in consumer confidence, we might not see these figures change dramatically any time soon.

Inside the mortgage trade exhibition!

Over 70 exhibitors, including AToM, were in attendance at last week’s Mortgage trade event of the year - Mortgage Business EXPO 2011. More than 2,500 Mortgage Brokers, Independent Financial Advisers and Estate Agents visited over the two days to explore the products and offerings of the many Banks, Building Societies, Solicitors, Bridging and Commercial Funders and Specialist Mortgage Packagers. In addition, our trade association (Association of Mortgage Intermediaries) held numerous seminars covering various issues including ‘Mortgage Market updates: the impact of the impending European Mortgage directive’: ‘Consumer Protection’: ‘Current Issues’ and ‘Economic impact of the Economy’. How exciting it all sounds!

However, the reality is that we currently appear to be in a buoyant mortgage market and all of the Lenders at EXPO wanted to lend! This included some of the usual household names (not all could make it!), but more so the smaller lenders with no obvious funding issues, including Building Societies! Especially prominent were those in the Commercial and Short Term Lending (Bridging Finance) arenas.

All in all, we had a good two days exhibiting, made some fantastic new contacts and achieved a real insight as to how the market is currently holding up in various areas of the country. Believe me, the south is doing pretty well…

What I found valuable was the firm response to a question posed during a Lenders seminar with a panel consisting of Nationwide, Barclays, Northern Rock (Virgin Money), Platform (Co-Op) and GE Money Home Lending. The question raised to them all was, simply put, when do you hink the Bank of England will increase the base rate? The responses were pretty similar from all
parties – between late 2013 and early 2014.

Take what you want from this, but all of a sudden, short to medium term tracker rates look more attractive than they did just a few minutes ago!

If you can, overpay!

For those lucky enough to be on a very low bank base rate tracker mortgage, you may have enjoyed a couple of ‘comfortable’ years with the bank base rate being at an all time low. However, are you one of the few on tracker rate mortgages who have taken advantage and overpaid on their monthly payments? Barclays recently carried out a survey of over 1,000 borrowers and found that only 10% were currently overpaying and 6% are planning to start overpaying this year. For those who have not yet started, this could be a missed opportunity on shaving a number of years from the term of the loan, or reducing the interest paid each month, even by just overpaying small amounts.

The Buy to Let market (investment properties) looks set to be the most competitive sector of the mortgage market as further lenders signal their intent to offer products to this area. Metro Bank, Santander and Yorkshire Building Society are just a few that have signalled their interest for later in the year. Skipton Building Society has also this week re-launched in to the Buy to Let marketplace. As First Time Buyers continue to struggle to get on the property ladder (the government First Buy Scheme may assist a few), the rental market is expected to continue its rapid growth. Interest rates for investment properties have tended to be slightly higher with larger lender fees charged for arranging these types of mortgages. However, with more lenders already competing, both rates and fees are already starting to reduce and will fall further as the market becomes crowded.

Finally, larger loan availability is also on the return. Having been somewhat restricted over the last few years, obtaining loans of £1m + have been slightly more difficult to achieve. This is set to change as Nationwide have recently increased their maximum loan to £2m at 75% of the property value and 70% above £2m on an individual case by case basis. Bank of China will also consider loans of up to £10m for the right applicants. All steps in the right direction and one might even start to get slightly excited at the increasingly positive nature of the mortgage news circulating the market of late!